What’s the Typical Appraisal Workload Nowadays?
October 1, 2009 at 5:27 pm | Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a commentTags: advantage appraisals, AMC, appraisal, appraisal fees, appraisal inspection, appraisal management company, appraiser, arizona, chandler, Comparable, divorce, FHA, foreclosure, hvcc, maricopa county, phoenix, pinal county, pool, queen creek, real estate, san tan valley, Trustees Deed Upon Sale
As times change, lines of appraisal work shift. Back in 2003-2004, my work was about 47% rate and term refinances, 47% purchases, 6% “other” which included review work, estate settlement, bankruptcy, divorce, and hard money (like the guy who needed to refinance so that he could raise enough money to post bail for his son)
When I moved to Phoenix in 2005, the chunk of purchases jumped up to about 60% and then starting around 3rd quarter of 2007, that ratio shifted to a lot fewer purchases and actually volume so low that I can now admit was too small to gague statistics.
But today, I can actually measure my work volume and it has shifted significantly. I went back 90 days to itemize the work I’ve done and here’s the approximate rundown:
What, were you expecting actual numbers?
Anyway, keep in mind that of the refinances, a lot (I assume) ended up below what they “needed” to make their deal work, but at least now I don’t feel the lender pressure to hit some sort of value with the unspoken threat of losing future work. How do I know this? Let’s just say that if they bought the home in 2006 for $350k with a $320k first mortgage and now the home is worth $160k, I surmise that they didn’t pay down their mortgage by over $160k over those 3 years.
As you can see, I now do a lot of Review appraisals. Back in the day, these would be reviews of recently completed appraisals. I rarely get those now. What these reviews are is typically foreclosed homes that were appraised in the 2005-2007 era back when values were very high. Someone wants to know if that appraisal was inflated. And for the sake of privacy, I’ll just leave it at that. And of those that I review, I’d say 95% of them WERE inflated. At first I was a little confused on the purpose of these assignments because I would assume that some of these Appraisers are now out of business with little or no possible recourse. But in actuality, these are not for the purpose of hunting down bad Appraisers, but instead to determine the big picture of the original transaction. These assignments are pretty low stress in that I never enter the home being appraised, but it’s pretty glum work as that’s a lot of assignments where I never step out of the car. And as an aside, I often see the original appraisal from say 2006, which shows a beautiful home, and when I see it (from the street and perhaps a newer listing now that it’s foreclosed), it’s a completely thrashed home- complete with holes everywhere, nasty carpets, overgrown yards and green pools.
REO work is Real Estate Owned assignments. These are an example of how appraisal volume has increased over recent years. These assignments are essentially pre-listing reports requested by the bank that now owns a foreclosed home. Take for example the bank based in South Dakota that now owns a foreclosed home in Arizona. They don’t know the market out here. They KNOW that these free online home valuation sites are a complete waste and completely unreliable. So among other things, they order what is known as an REO appraisal. Basically, they want to know the appraised value based on closed sales, but they are very interested in what it would take to make the property truly competitive with other homes for sale, so a very detailed list of things wrong with the home is required. Also, the other available listings are paid very close attention to. Basically, the bank wants to get rid of these non-performing assets so they want to know what it will take to get these homes sold in a relatively fast time.
Estate work is on the rise. People are always dying and the estate needs assets valued. But when you add in a bad economy, you unfortunately get a lot of personal issues that require appraisals. Bankruptcy and divorce are prime reasons why homes are appraised, so that the parties know how to proceed. It’s sad but reality.
So, let me paint an image of the volume of appraisal work that I’m seeing or that can affect a single property over a relatively short period.
- Family buys a home in early 2006- conventional appraisal
- Family refinances their home in late 2006 to take out money for improvements- FHA appraisal
- Family decides to sell home in 2008- listing appraisal (not required but often done)
- Family can’t sell home by late 2008 and lowers price to point to breakeven point, spouse loses job, couple decides to divorce- estate appraisal
- Owner negotiates with bank for a short sale- bank gets an offer below asking price in early 2009 and questions if it’s a good offer- REO appraisal
- Short offer falls through, home is foreclosed in March 2009, bank wants to relist it- REO appraisal
- Third party questions original refinance appraisal August 2009- Retrospective review appraisal
- New buyer comes in and buys home September 2009- FHA appraisal
That’s right, we’re talking 8 separate appraisals on the same home within a very short period, all for different reasons or for different parties. That’s a lot of potential work for Appraisers nowadays.
Now don’t get me wrong, I don’t want anyone to get the idea that I’ve got more work than I can handle- after all, I just spent the past few hours writing this blog! More on the socialization of the appraisal industry some other time. Don’t even get me started on the 20 year veteran getting the same pay/volume as the newbie. (I’m somewhere in between- just a squirrel trying to get a nut)
Visit our website at www.advantageappraisalsllc.com, and if that doesn’t roll off the tongue, just try www.appraiserdude.com. Or now you can follow us on Twitter at @appraiserdude. Give me a call at 480-544-1217 if you have any questions. I look forward to working with you.
My Analysis on the HVCC
July 16, 2009 at 12:08 am | Posted in Uncategorized | 2 CommentsTags: advantage appraisals, AMC, anthony cuomo, appraisal, appraisal fees, appraisal management company, chandler, divorce, foreclosure, gilbert, hvcc, maricopa, maricopa county, phoenix, pinal county, queen creek, san tan valley
Here’s the layman’s synopsis of the dreaded Home Valuation Code of Conduct and why it’s important to you- regardless of who you are. I recently gave this presentation to a group of other local professionals, and now I’ve attempted to put it in some sort of written form. Now that I’ve read it back, it’s downright boring! But it is important and worth a few minutes of your time.
BACKGROUND
In the late 1980’s there was the great Savings and Loan collapse. “Bad lending practices” is the 2 second synopsis. And the US Goverment (taxpayers) bailed them out to the tune of $125 billionish. In the wake of this, among other things, Appraisers were officially required to be licensed, follow universally accepted standard, etc. In other words, rules and regulations were established. Those rules included minimum education hours, minimum experience hours, testing standards, licensing procedures, background checks, etc. Today, that means 2500 hours of experience, 120 hours of initial education, FBI check, nationally established test, a 4 year college degree, errors and omissions insurance, etc.
And every two years, Appraisers are required to repeat one specific class known as USPAP, which basically covers the methodology of appraising- including ETHICS.
Why so much to be an Appraiser? Well after all, Appraisers are signing a legal document saying what the estimated value of a property is. And that document is then used by decisionmakers on whether a loan should be given for a particular property. Basically, the Appraiser is giving the diagnosis on a piece of property, and the bank then decides the course of action.
Every state has an Appraisal Board which consists of a group of professionals who enforce appraisal standards and licensing. And when someone complains about an Appraiser for competence, ethics, or any other legitimate reason, that board investigates complaints against Appraisers. The board reprimands Appraisers up to and including revocation of licenses and even pursuit of criminal charges to be carried out by the Attorney General or whomever else would pursue the matter (I’m not a lawyer).
All these things have been mandated or expanded since 1989 by what is known as FIRREA- you can google that on your own if you’d like.
Recent Housing Situation
So as we’ve all seen, over the past several years, the market has seen a significant decline, and by significant, I mean huge. But rather than accept the fact that it’s normal for markets rise and fall, the tendency is to try and place blame.
So whose fault was this big mess?
- Was it the homeowners- who saw prices going sky high and did whatever they could to buy a house, or two, or ten. Or maybe they irresponsibly overleveraged themselves to get these homes. Or maybe they even lied in order to get these loans.
- Was it the Realtors, who took their clients to homes that were above their price range and “sold” them into going through with a purchase that they really didn’t feel comfortable with.
- Was it the Appraiser’s fault for falsely estimating values because they were scared that they’d lose clients if they “killed” deals? Or perhaps they were working in cahoots with lender in some sort of “straw buyer” scheme.
- Was it the mortgage broker’s fault for putting borrowers in risky loans- or fudged the financials of the borrower to make them fit into a loan?
- Was it the lender’s fault for creating these risky loans in the first place- like stated income, no income no job, or negative amortization loans?
- Maybe it the politicians- who passed legislation and threatened to sue lenders if they didn’t provide more loans to unqualified borrowers simply for the sake of giving more minorities the chance to own a home.
The answer- it was everyone’s fault and more.
But now that the mess is made, sure we see the news stories of heartache and trashed homes and bankruptcy and divorce. But the people who we hear and see most now are the politicians who represent us and are able to promote legislation (or mandate it). But let’s just say that I am cynical and although I believe that many politicians have noble intensions, oftentimes they are only posturing in order to let the masses think that they are doing their job. The politicians have to look like they care right?
So here’s the deal. A few years ago, Washington Mutual got in trouble for putting pressure on Appraisers to get deals done. Turns out that WAMU owned their very own appraisal company subsidiary. So if you got a loan through WAMU, your appraisal was essentially done by an employee of WAMU. So ultimately their staff Appraisers were caught inflating values to make deals work- even if they weren’t wise decisions for the bank. People complained and it was uncovered that the “objective” Appraisers were anything but- and that they were pressured into inflating values. WAMU is now in the process of being bought by Chase so we know how that worked out for WAMU.
So about this time, the attorney general of New York- a single person named Anthony Cuomo took it upon himself to dictate that mortgage companies are not allowed to directly contact the Appraiser, but instead use a “neutral” Appraisal Management Company (AMC) who then selects Appraisers at random. You can read the actual code here if you’d like. Appraiser independence, no pressure. Yay!… But does it really provide Appraiser independence and does it really eliminate lender pressure?
Once the code was announced, these AMCs appeared out of nowhere in droves. Everyone wanted a piece of the action. I mean where else can you start a business that mortgage companies have to use? And did I mention that these AMCs are unregulated? Did I mention that these AMC’s are unregulated? (yes I meant to repeat myself). So starting May 1st of 2009, it is now required that for any transaction backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, safeguards must be in place to eliminate any whiff of guidance by the loan officer on the Appraiser.
So… how do these AMC’s make money? Well, it used to be that the borrower would pay the Appraiser- around $350 for a typical home appraisal. Good lenders would insist that borrowers pay the Appraiser directly- that way, even if the deal fell through, the Appraiser got paid for services rendered. So if the Appraiser gets $350, then how does the AMC make money? Two choices- charge more for the appraisal so the Appraiser can still get paid the same amount, or find an Appraiser who will do the work for less than $350. Oh wait, three choices- charge more for the appraisal AND find an Appraiser who will do the work for less than $350. So it’s now common for borrowers to get charged $500 for an appraisal and the Appraiser gets paid $250, $200, or even less- depending on how much the AMC is willing to pay and how desperate the Appraiser is. And since lenders must now use AMC’s, Appraiser must now work with AMC’s. So in a given market- say Phoenix, a single AMC might have 30 Appraisers to choose from to do an assignment. And one AMC in particular will simply email an opportunity to all local Appraisers and the one who quotes the best combination of cheap and fast, gets the work. Or the “better” AMCs will broadcast an assignment and the first one to reply will get the work. Sounds sort of like a feeding frenzy eh?
Now before you start saying that Appraiser’s are sharks, please remember the sharks aren’t filming the video, and the sharks aren’t providing the fish. These sharks are hanging around waiting for food because they are starving to death. Meanwhile the smart shark has been out on his own, doing his own fishing- but now he’s not allowed to do so and he has to join in with the others or starve to death. Sounds a bit like socialism doesn’t it? And who are the starving Appraisers who are doing the work for very little compensation? It’s the freshest and greenest Appraisers who aren’t necessarily the best at what they do. Why do high end cancer specialists and baseball players and singers get paid so much? Because they have proven themselves and their work speaks for itself. What if you wanted to see a concert and when you got there it wasn’t someone you’ve heard of, and it was rock when you are a country fan and they weren’t very good? Not very good for the consumer is it?
And what happens if the appraisal is bad and the lender isn’t happy? Who can they take it out on? Sure the Appraiser’s name is on the report. It’s the Appraiser’s errors and ommissions insurance and license and phone number on the report. But with a dead deal, what’s the simplest solution for the lender? Go to a different AMC who will provide appraisals that make value. So the “pressure” was perhaps on the Appraiser from the lender, but now the pressure is on the AMC who now puts pressure on the Appraiser- another layer of beauracracy. So if an Appraiser comes in at a value that isn’t good enough, he might stop getting orders from the AMC- again, the unregulated AMC.
Who is benefitting from the HVCC? It’s not the Appraiser. It’s not the borrower. In actuality it’s the lender and the AMCs that are benefitting most. The lender can now charge a strange fee of say $500 that covers the appraisal. The lender can pay the AMC $350, who then pays the Appraiser $200. And even if the appraisal kills the deal, the lender makes $150. So instead of the Appraiser charging a simple $350, two other entities make money out of the same transaction. Now I know that this scenario is very simplistic, but it’s a perfect example of how some are taking advantage of the HVCC.
This rant has gone on pretty long so if you’ve even made it this far, I thank you and I will try to wrap it up. I’ll actually give real examples later down the road.
What Can Be Done by YOU
Don’t get me wrong, clients come and go, so I still appreciate referrals of mortgage professionals, management companies, lawyers, Realtors and even homeowners. But my request for you today is to take action against this legislation. And here’s why it’s not a futile attempt.
- The appraisal industry has the weakest lobbying group in DC. So it was easy for the HVCC to get crammed into action.
- The National Association of Realtors (NAR) has one of the biggest lobbying groups in DC and while they let this go into effect, the impact has been enormous in just two months. Realtors and mortgage brokers are seeing their deals getting killed by inexperienced Appraisers and borrowers are seeing very high Appraisal fees and even second Appraisal fees for deals that go nowhere.
- So the president of the NAR is finally taking action against the HVCC and has met with Anthony Cuomo.
- Go to this website and watch the video which is very well done and explains much of what I have done in this blog. (and sorry if you read it first and are now saying “you mean I could have watched the movie instead of reading this poorly written crap?!)
- Sign the petition on that same website. Last I checked it had 52,000 signatures so far.
- Share that website with everyone you know.
- There is a bill in the US House of Representatives right now- HR 3044. It already has 19 cosponsors. Please contact your congressman and voice your support for this bill. Hopefully he or she will want to cosponsor the bill.
Visit our website at www.advantageappraisalsllc.com, and if that doesn’t roll off the tongue, just try www.appraiserdude.com. Give me a call at 480-544-1217 if you have any questions. I look forward to working with you. Now serving the San Tan Valley community.
Changing the Marketing Focus
April 29, 2009 at 7:51 am | Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a commentTags: appraisal, bankruptcy, divorce, gilbert, hvcc, loan modification, queen creek
It used to be that Appraisers wouldn’t market directly to homeowners. After all, when you purchase your house or get it refinanced, the loan officer orders the appraisal. Every year I’d get calls from the high school to sponsor the basketball team, or from the town asking if I wanted a booth at one of the town festivals, and I used to confidently say that my audience was not the individual homeowners.
But times have changed, and the Home Valuation Code of Conduct (HVCC) has eliminated the communication between Appraiser and loan officer (don’t get me started on that one). Quite coincidentally, the individual homeowner is finding out more frequently that they require an Appraisal for non-lender related issues. These situations include:
If you find yourself in one of these situations, of course I’ll blatantly ask you to call me, but I’ll try and be a little more diplomatic about it. First off, call your Realtor because he or she should be able to recommend a good Appraiser. In fact, any good Realtor understands the importance of knowing a reliable team of professionals, which includes handymen, painters, lawyers, home inspectors and of course Appraisers. And find out if your Realtor really knows the person or is simply passing you a business card. If a Realtor wants to continue their relationship with you, they will make sure that they provide you with quality business referrals that will help you with your situation.
To learn more about the Appraisal process, give me a call at 480-544-1217 or visit our website at www.advantageappraisalsllc.com. We look forward to helping you when the need arises.
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